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AHT: 00CSV

26 Nov 2025 · 19:45

QPR

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.9%
Blackburn
30.5%
Draw
33.6%
QPR

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Blackburn

vs
1.13

QPR

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).