Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Sheffield Weds
25.2%
Draw
57.3%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.75
QPR
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).