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20 Jun 2020 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.8%
Pordenone
19.1%
Draw
71.1%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Pordenone

vs
2.27

Venezia

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.7%
0-1
10.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
1-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).