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DHT: 01CSV

17 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
25.3%
Draw
23.8%
Greuther Furth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.17

Greuther Furth

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).