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26 Feb 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
30.7%
Draw
37.1%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.15

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).