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23 Feb 2020 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.1%
Bielefeld
26.7%
Draw
37.2%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Bielefeld

vs
1.49

Hannover

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).