Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.8%
Granada
12.7%
Draw
80.5%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Granada
vs
2.84
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
0-4
7.6%
1-1
6.0%
1-4
5.6%
0-5
4.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).