Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Lyon
22.7%
Draw
26.5%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Lyon
vs
1.15
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).