Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Lille
13.2%
Draw
6.4%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Lille
vs
0.53
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
6.2%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.8%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).