Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Porto
26.1%
Draw
18.0%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Porto
vs
0.67
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
2-0
12.5%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).