Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Las Palmas
26.5%
Draw
44.1%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Las Palmas
vs
1.46
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).