Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Cremonese
34.5%
Draw
33.3%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Cremonese
vs
0.82
Lecce
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.548.2%
Over 2.522.4%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.4%
0-1
16.4%
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
0-3
1.8%
3-0
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).