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25 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
Altrincham
28.4%
Draw
50.1%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Altrincham

vs
1.49

Southend

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).