Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Venezia
14.3%
Draw
4.9%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Venezia
vs
0.52
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
3-0
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-1
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).