Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
Monza
22.7%
Draw
60.4%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Monza
vs
1.76
Bologna
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).