Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Cambridge
19.1%
Draw
10.3%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Cambridge
vs
0.57
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
15.2%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).