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20 Sept 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Akron
28.8%
Draw
33.4%
Rubin Kazan

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Akron

vs
1.29

Rubin Kazan

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).