Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
19.3%
Draw
24.2%
Tonbridge Angels
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.46
Tonbridge Angels
Markets
BTTS68.8%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
3-2
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).