Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Doncaster
16.5%
Draw
65.5%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Doncaster
vs
2.72
Southampton
Markets
BTTS70.3%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.578.0%
Over 3.559.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
6.0%
1-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.4%
2-3
5.4%
1-4
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
3.7%
2-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).