Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.0%
Estrela
11.8%
Draw
84.2%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Estrela
vs
2.81
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-3
13.4%
0-1
9.7%
0-4
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
1-3
6.8%
1-1
5.6%
0-5
5.3%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
4.0%
1-5
2.7%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).