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22 May 2022 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.2%
Norwich
23.8%
Draw
63.1%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Norwich

vs
1.95

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).