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05 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.6%
Wrexham
23.5%
Draw
32.9%
Farnham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Wrexham

vs
1.36

Farnham Town

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).