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AHT: 11

21 Sept 2024 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Westerlo
30.7%
Draw
33.1%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Westerlo

vs
1.03

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
11.8%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).