Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
Frosinone
20.1%
Draw
12.9%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Frosinone
vs
0.92
Empoli
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).