Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Hertha
22.1%
Draw
14.3%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Hertha
vs
0.85
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).