Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
Barcelona
16.4%
Draw
11.5%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Barcelona
vs
0.94
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).