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30 Aug 2019 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.1%
Valenciennes
27.7%
Draw
41.2%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Valenciennes

vs
1.14

Clermont

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).