Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Lyon
23.0%
Draw
26.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Lyon
vs
1.11
Lille
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).