Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.0%
Spezia
11.5%
Draw
83.5%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Spezia
vs
2.75
Inter
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.1%
0-3
13.0%
0-1
10.4%
0-4
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
7.0%
1-1
5.4%
0-5
4.9%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
3.6%
1-5
2.6%
1-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).