Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Bournemouth
26.8%
Draw
44.0%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Bournemouth
vs
1.69
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).