Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Fredrikstad
18.7%
Draw
10.7%
Lillestrøm
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Fredrikstad
vs
0.66
Lillestrøm
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.6%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).