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A

03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Gent

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.6%
Shildon AFC
12.2%
Draw
14.2%
Gent

Expected Goals (xG)

3.86

Shildon AFC

vs
1.86

Gent

Markets

BTTS82.5%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.7%
Over 2.592.4%
Over 3.582.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
5.9%
4-1
5.7%
3-2
5.4%
4-2
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
5-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
5-2
4.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).