Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.0%
Leicester
25.0%
Draw
64.0%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Leicester
vs
1.78
Everton
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.3%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).