Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
La Coruna
23.3%
Draw
24.4%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
La Coruna
vs
1.12
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).