Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Venezia
14.0%
Draw
5.7%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Venezia
vs
0.63
Avellino
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).