Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Chesterfield
23.1%
Draw
29.7%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Chesterfield
vs
1.27
Salford
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).