Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Plymouth
21.7%
Draw
33.1%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Plymouth
vs
1.43
Reading
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).