Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Grimsby
25.3%
Draw
39.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Grimsby
vs
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).