Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Holstein Kiel
23.2%
Draw
22.6%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.26
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).