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13 Apr 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.3%
Levante
20.3%
Draw
11.4%
Amorebieta

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Levante

vs
0.63

Amorebieta

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).