Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Wealdstone
23.6%
Draw
57.0%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Wealdstone
vs
1.94
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).