Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Eibar
30.0%
Draw
18.2%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Eibar
vs
0.60
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
0-0
16.0%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).