Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Las Palmas
14.8%
Draw
76.4%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Las Palmas
vs
2.64
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
6.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-5
3.4%
0-0
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).