Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Watford
23.3%
Draw
18.3%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Watford
vs
1.00
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).