Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Sp Braga
22.1%
Draw
17.0%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Sp Braga
vs
0.80
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).