Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.8%
Real Madrid
11.6%
Draw
3.6%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Real Madrid
vs
0.40
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.8%
3-0
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
4-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-1
2.0%
0-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).