Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
22.6%
Draw
65.1%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.95
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).