Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
St Etienne
17.4%
Draw
63.8%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
St Etienne
vs
2.46
Lyon
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
1-1
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).