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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Zaragoza
29.1%
Draw
44.1%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Zaragoza

vs
1.22

Granada

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).