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DHT: 10CSV

27 Feb 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.4%
Swansea
22.8%
Draw
11.8%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Swansea

vs
0.67

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).